TcgEV
Shining Fates booster pack

SWORD & SHIELD / SWSH45

Shining Fates

English · February 19, 2021 release

RAW SET VALUE$716.77195 PRICED CARDS · UNGRADED
AVG. EXPECTED RETURN-79.9%
SET OVERVIEW
PACK PRICE Loose-pack listings are NOT used for this price.Standard Pokemon sets use the exact booster-box price divided by 36 packs. Specialty sets use the exact six-pack Booster Bundle price or ETB price if Bundle not available.$13.66
GROSS PACK EV$2.74
SEALED PREMIUM Pack price divided by gross pack EV before selling friction.Lower means pack price is cheaper relative to expected gross card value. Higher means sealed price is more expensive relative to expected gross card value.4.99xPACK PRICE / GROSS PACK EV
TOP 5 CHASE SHARE28.3%OF RAW SET VALUE
RECOMMENDATION BETACompared with eligible booster packs in this TCG.Lower sealed premium favors sealed. Higher premium favors singles only when gross EV and all-card value are both at least median; otherwise avoid.AVOIDWEAK CONTENTS AND SEALED VALUE
Gross EV and Pack Price
Gross EVPack price

Daily modeled Gross EV and booster pack price in dollars. Use this view to compare their actual market values.

Gross EV
Pack Price

Top chases

TOP 5
  1. Charizard VMAXShiny VMAX
    RAW$130.76PSA 10$243.46
    Shining Fates#SV107
    Charizard VMAX
    Shiny VMAXShiny Vault
    RAW MARKET$130.76PSA 10$243.46
  2. MorpekoRare Shiny
    RAW$20.87PSA 10$107.77
    Shining Fates#SV044
    Morpeko
    Rare ShinyShiny Vault
    RAW MARKET$20.87PSA 10$107.77
  3. YamperRare Shiny
    RAW$17.61PSA 10$101.49
    Shining Fates#SV039
    Yamper
    Rare ShinyShiny Vault
    RAW MARKET$17.61PSA 10$101.49
  4. SuicuneRare Shiny
    RAW$17.09PSA 10$151.52
    Shining Fates#SV022
    Suicune
    Rare ShinyShiny Vault
    RAW MARKET$17.09PSA 10$151.52
  5. Galarian PonytaRare Shiny
    RAW$16.52PSA 10$69.40
    Shining Fates#SV047
    Galarian Ponyta
    Rare ShinyShiny Vault
    RAW MARKET$16.52PSA 10$69.40

Pull Rate and EV Breakdown

9 CATEGORIES

Each eligible card within a categorized rarity is treated as equally likely.

CATEGORIZED RARITYPULL RATEAPPROX. ODDSELIGIBLE CARDSGROSS EVEV SHARE
Ultra Rare
Rare Holo V11.11%1 in 98$0.114.01%
Rare Holo VMAX5.56%1 in 186$0.145.11%
Rare Ultra3.23%1 in 319$0.134.74%
Amazing Rare
Amazing Rare5.88%1 in 173$0.124.38%
Secret Rare
Rare Rainbow1.19%1 in 841$0.062.19%
Shiny Vault
Rare Shiny25.00%1 in 4104$1.0538.32%
Shiny V5.00%1 in 209$0.134.74%
Shiny VMAX4.00%1 in 257$0.9434.31%
Shiny Secret0.91%1 in 1102$0.062.19%

Tracked cards

195 / 195 CARDS
All categorized rarities
Charizard VMAX card
Charizard VMAXSWSH45SV-SV107 · #SV107
Shiny VaultShiny VMAX
$130.76$243.46
Shining Fates#SV107
Charizard VMAX
Shiny VMAXShiny Vault
RAW MARKET$130.76PSA 10$243.46
Galarian Ponyta card
Galarian PonytaSWSH45SV-SV047 · #SV047
Shiny VaultRare Shiny
$16.52$69.40
Shining Fates#SV047
Galarian Ponyta
Rare ShinyShiny Vault
RAW MARKET$16.52PSA 10$69.40
Galarian Rapidash card
Galarian RapidashSWSH45SV-SV048 · #SV048
Shiny VaultRare Shiny
$13.74$46.79
Shining Fates#SV048
Galarian Rapidash
Rare ShinyShiny Vault
RAW MARKET$13.74PSA 10$46.79
Eternatus VMAX card
Eternatus VMAXSWSH45SV-SV122 · #SV122
Shiny VaultShiny Secret
$6.59$54.75
Shining Fates#SV122
Eternatus VMAX
Shiny SecretShiny Vault
RAW MARKET$6.59PSA 10$54.75