Mega Greninja exME4-116 · #116
Special Illustration RareSpecial Illustration Rare
$152.42$438.73
MEGA EVOLUTION / ME4
Chaos Rising
English · May 22, 2026 release
RAW SET VALUE$528.96122 PRICED CARDS · UNGRADED
AVG. EXPECTED RETURN-74.3%
PACK PRICE Loose-pack listings are NOT used for this price.Standard Pokemon sets use the exact booster-box price divided by 36 packs. Specialty sets use the exact six-pack Booster Bundle price or ETB price if Bundle not available.$5.32
GROSS PACK EV$1.37
SEALED PREMIUM Pack price divided by gross pack EV before selling friction.Lower means pack price is cheaper relative to expected gross card value. Higher means sealed price is more expensive relative to expected gross card value.3.88xPACK PRICE / GROSS PACK EV
TOP 5 CHASE SHARE75.6%OF RAW SET VALUE
RECOMMENDATION BETACompared with eligible booster packs in this TCG.Lower sealed premium favors sealed. Higher premium favors singles only when gross EV and all-card value are both at least median; otherwise avoid.AVOIDWEAK CONTENTS AND SEALED VALUE
Gross EV and Pack Price
Gross EVPack price
Daily modeled Gross EV and booster pack price in dollars. Use this view to compare their actual market values.
Gross EV
Pack Price
Top chases
- Mega Greninja exSpecial Illustration RareRAW$152.42PSA 10$438.73
- Mega Greninja exMega Hyper RareRAW$150.43PSA 10$782.48
- Cinccino exSpecial Illustration RareRAW$46.95PSA 10$157.75
- Mega Dragalge exSpecial Illustration RareRAW$25.12PSA 10$115.29
- Mega Floette exSpecial Illustration RareRAW$24.82PSA 10$125.68
Pull Rate and EV Breakdown
Each eligible card within a categorized rarity is treated as equally likely.
| CATEGORIZED RARITY | PULL RATE | APPROX. ODDS | ELIGIBLE CARDS | GROSS EV | EV SHARE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare | 20.00% | 1 in 5 | 10 | $0.12 | 8.76% |
| Ultra Rare | 8.33% | 1 in 12 | 18 | $0.19 | 13.87% |
| Illustration Rare | 11.11% | 1 in 9 | 11 | $0.32 | 23.36% |
| Special Illustration Rare | 1.20% | 1 in 83 | 6 | $0.57 | 41.61% |
| Mega Hyper Rare | 0.10% | 1 in 956 | 1 | $0.16 | 11.68% |
Tracked cards
All categorized rarities
Mega Greninja exME4-122 · #122
Mega Hyper RareMega Hyper Rare
$150.43$782.48Cinccino exME4-119 · #119
Special Illustration RareSpecial Illustration Rare
$46.95$157.75Mega Dragalge exME4-118 · #118
Special Illustration RareSpecial Illustration Rare
$25.12$115.29Mega Floette exME4-117 · #117
Special Illustration RareSpecial Illustration Rare
$24.82$125.68AZ's TranquilityME4-120 · #120
Special Illustration RareSpecial Illustration Rare
$19.39$78.80Roxie's PerformanceME4-121 · #121
Special Illustration RareSpecial Illustration Rare
$17.23$113.86Mega Greninja exME4-100 · #100
Ultra RareUltra Rare
$7.93$107.88XerneasME4-91 · #91
Illustration RareIllustration Rare
$5.18$85.85FroakieME4-88 · #88
Illustration RareIllustration Rare
$5.13$93.32AmpharosME4-90 · #90
Illustration RareIllustration Rare
$4.82$94.25FrogadierME4-89 · #89
Illustration RareIllustration Rare
$4.31$71.18Cinccino exME4-105 · #105
Ultra RareUltra Rare
$3.86$49.05Jumbo Ice CreamME4-109 · #109
Ultra RareUltra Rare
$3.45—ChespinME4-87 · #87
Illustration RareIllustration Rare
$3.21$79.39Surfing BeachME4-114 · #114
Ultra RareUltra Rare
$3.14$94.76Special Red CardME4-113 · #113
Ultra RareUltra Rare
$2.85$46.00Mega Pyroar exME4-99 · #99
Ultra RareUltra Rare
$2.49$61.76Mega Floette exME4-101 · #101
Ultra RareUltra Rare
$2.42$65.13DelphoxME4-13 · #13
Not included in EV
$2.19—CrobatME4-93 · #93
Illustration RareIllustration Rare
$1.94$60.53Beedrill exME4-98 · #98
Ultra RareUltra Rare
$1.84$103.47TaurosME4-96 · #96
Illustration RareIllustration Rare
$1.80$78.69Prism TowerME4-111 · #111
Ultra RareUltra Rare
$1.74$200.00EmmaME4-107 · #107
Ultra RareUltra Rare
$1.73$89.91