Charizard exSV3PT5-199 · #199
Special Illustration RareSpecial Illustration Rare
$351.74$1,405.31
SCARLET & VIOLET / SV3PT5
151
English · September 22, 2023 release
RAW SET VALUE$1,792.57207 PRICED CARDS · UNGRADED
AVG. EXPECTED RETURN-70.4%
PACK PRICE Loose-pack listings are NOT used for this price.Standard Pokemon sets use the exact booster-box price divided by 36 packs. Specialty sets use the exact six-pack Booster Bundle price or ETB price if Bundle not available.$28.48
GROSS PACK EV$8.43
SEALED PREMIUM Pack price divided by gross pack EV before selling friction.Lower means pack price is cheaper relative to expected gross card value. Higher means sealed price is more expensive relative to expected gross card value.3.38xPACK PRICE / GROSS PACK EV
TOP 5 CHASE SHARE42.2%OF RAW SET VALUE
RECOMMENDATION BETACompared with eligible booster packs in this TCG.Lower sealed premium favors sealed. Higher premium favors singles only when gross EV and all-card value are both at least median; otherwise avoid.FAVOR SEALEDSTRONG RELATIVE SEALED VALUE
Gross EV and Pack Price
Gross EVPack price
Daily modeled Gross EV and booster pack price in dollars. Use this view to compare their actual market values.
Gross EV
Pack Price
Top chases
- Charizard exSpecial Illustration RareRAW$351.74PSA 10$1,405.31
Blastoise exSpecial Illustration RareRAW$129.53PSA 10$532.76
Venusaur exSpecial Illustration RareRAW$98.40PSA 10$427.82
CharmanderIllustration RareRAW$93.03PSA 10$598.47
SquirtleIllustration RareRAW$84.41PSA 10$446.32
Pull Rate and EV Breakdown
Each eligible card within a categorized rarity is treated as equally likely.
| CATEGORIZED RARITY | PULL RATE | APPROX. ODDS | ELIGIBLE CARDS | GROSS EV | EV SHARE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare | 12.50% | 1 in 8 | 12 | $0.32 | 3.80% |
| Ultra Rare | 6.25% | 1 in 16 | 16 | $0.72 | 8.54% |
| Illustration Rare | 8.33% | 1 in 12 | 16 | $3.77 | 44.72% |
| Special Illustration Rare | 3.13% | 1 in 32 | 7 | $3.39 | 40.21% |
| Hyper Rare | 1.96% | 1 in 51 | 3 | $0.23 | 2.73% |
Tracked cards
All categorized rarities
Blastoise exSV3PT5-200 · #200
Special Illustration RareSpecial Illustration Rare
$129.53$532.76Venusaur exSV3PT5-198 · #198
Special Illustration RareSpecial Illustration Rare
$98.40$427.82CharmanderSV3PT5-168 · #168
Illustration RareIllustration Rare
$93.03$598.47SquirtleSV3PT5-170 · #170
Illustration RareIllustration Rare
$84.41$446.32
Zapdos exSV3PT5-202 · #202
Special Illustration RareSpecial Illustration Rare
$82.29$401.98
PikachuSV3PT5-173 · #173
Illustration RareIllustration Rare
$76.96$517.27
BulbasaurSV3PT5-166 · #166
Illustration RareIllustration Rare
$71.42$292.74
Alakazam exSV3PT5-201 · #201
Special Illustration RareSpecial Illustration Rare
$68.06$308.81
PsyduckSV3PT5-175 · #175
Illustration RareIllustration Rare
$61.48$445.25
WartortleSV3PT5-171 · #171
Illustration RareIllustration Rare
$58.67$407.26
CharmeleonSV3PT5-169 · #169
Illustration RareIllustration Rare
$56.21$464.36
DragonairSV3PT5-181 · #181
Illustration RareIllustration Rare
$42.50$250.22
PoliwhirlSV3PT5-176 · #176
Illustration RareIllustration Rare
$39.71$274.69
IvysaurSV3PT5-167 · #167
Illustration RareIllustration Rare
$39.28$288.22
Charizard exSV3PT5-183 · #183
Ultra RareUltra Rare
$39.25$193.24
Mew exSV3PT5-193 · #193
Ultra RareUltra Rare
$29.58$225.86
Mew exSV3PT5-205 · #205
Hyper RareHyper Rare
$26.89$243.40
MachokeSV3PT5-177 · #177
Illustration RareIllustration Rare
$21.52$206.32
Blastoise exSV3PT5-184 · #184
Ultra RareUltra Rare
$18.87$142.68
NidokingSV3PT5-174 · #174
Illustration RareIllustration Rare
$17.60$159.34
VileplumeSV3PT5-45 · #45
Not included in EV
$17.59$88.88
CaterpieSV3PT5-172 · #172
Illustration RareIllustration Rare
$16.67$209.92
TangelaSV3PT5-178 · #178
Illustration RareIllustration Rare
$16.24$166.12
Erika's InvitationSV3PT5-203 · #203
Special Illustration RareSpecial Illustration Rare
$15.15$98.67