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Mega Evolution booster pack

MEGA EVOLUTION / ME1

Mega Evolution

English · September 26, 2025 release

RAW SET VALUE$1,484.84188 PRICED CARDS · UNGRADED
AVG. EXPECTED RETURN-75.0%
SET OVERVIEW
PACK PRICE Loose-pack listings are NOT used for this price.Standard Pokemon sets use the exact booster-box price divided by 36 packs. Specialty sets use the exact six-pack Booster Bundle price or ETB price if Bundle not available.$8.56
GROSS PACK EV$2.14
SEALED PREMIUM Pack price divided by gross pack EV before selling friction.Lower means pack price is cheaper relative to expected gross card value. Higher means sealed price is more expensive relative to expected gross card value.4.00xPACK PRICE / GROSS PACK EV
TOP 5 CHASE SHARE62.2%OF RAW SET VALUE
RECOMMENDATION BETACompared with eligible booster packs in this TCG.Lower sealed premium favors sealed. Higher premium favors singles only when gross EV and all-card value are both at least median; otherwise avoid.NO BIASNO CLEAR RELATIVE EDGE
Gross EV and Pack Price
Gross EVPack price

Daily modeled Gross EV and booster pack price in dollars. Use this view to compare their actual market values.

Gross EV
Pack Price

Top chases

TOP 5
  1. Mega Lucario exMega Hyper Rare
    RAW$234.58PSA 10$714.54
    Mega Evolution#188
    Mega Lucario ex
    Mega Hyper Rare
    RAW MARKET$234.58PSA 10$714.54
    Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
  2. Mega Gardevoir exMega Hyper Rare
    RAW$192.13PSA 10$577.62
    Mega Evolution#187
    Mega Gardevoir ex
    Mega Hyper Rare
    RAW MARKET$192.13PSA 10$577.62
    Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
  3. Mega Lucario exSpecial Illustration Rare
    RAW$175.26PSA 10$334.44
    Mega Evolution#179
    Mega Lucario ex
    Special Illustration Rare
    RAW MARKET$175.26PSA 10$334.44
    Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
  4. Mega Gardevoir exSpecial Illustration Rare
    RAW$173.61PSA 10$299.88
    Mega Evolution#178
    Mega Gardevoir ex
    Special Illustration Rare
    RAW MARKET$173.61PSA 10$299.88
    Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
  5. Mega Venusaur exSpecial Illustration Rare
    RAW$148.55PSA 10$224.00
    Mega Evolution#177
    Mega Venusaur ex
    Special Illustration Rare
    RAW MARKET$148.55PSA 10$224.00
    Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer

Pull Rate and EV Breakdown

5 CATEGORIES

Each eligible card within a categorized rarity is treated as equally likely.

CATEGORIZED RARITYPULL RATEAPPROX. ODDSELIGIBLE CARDSGROSS EVEV SHARE
Double Rare20.00%1 in 510$0.167.48%
Ultra Rare8.33%1 in 1222$0.3817.76%
Illustration Rare11.11%1 in 922$0.6429.91%
Special Illustration Rare0.99%1 in 10110$0.7936.92%
Mega Hyper Rare0.08%1 in 1,2602$0.177.94%

Tracked cards

188 / 188 CARDS
All categorized rarities
Mega Lucario ex card
Mega Lucario exME1-188 · #188
Mega Hyper RareMega Hyper Rare
$234.58$714.54
Mega Evolution#188
Mega Lucario ex
Mega Hyper Rare
RAW MARKET$234.58PSA 10$714.54
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Mega Gardevoir ex card
Mega Gardevoir exME1-187 · #187
Mega Hyper RareMega Hyper Rare
$192.13$577.62
Mega Evolution#187
Mega Gardevoir ex
Mega Hyper Rare
RAW MARKET$192.13PSA 10$577.62
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Mega Lucario ex card
Mega Lucario exME1-179 · #179
Special Illustration RareSpecial Illustration Rare
$175.26$334.44
Mega Evolution#179
Mega Lucario ex
Special Illustration Rare
RAW MARKET$175.26PSA 10$334.44
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Mega Gardevoir ex card
Mega Gardevoir exME1-178 · #178
Special Illustration RareSpecial Illustration Rare
$173.61$299.88
Mega Evolution#178
Mega Gardevoir ex
Special Illustration Rare
RAW MARKET$173.61PSA 10$299.88
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Mega Venusaur ex card
Mega Venusaur exME1-177 · #177
Special Illustration RareSpecial Illustration Rare
$148.55$224.00
Mega Evolution#177
Mega Venusaur ex
Special Illustration Rare
RAW MARKET$148.55PSA 10$224.00
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Mega Latias ex card
Mega Latias exME1-181 · #181
Special Illustration RareSpecial Illustration Rare
$75.37$190.65
Mega Evolution#181
Mega Latias ex
Special Illustration Rare
RAW MARKET$75.37PSA 10$190.65
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Lillie's Determination card
Lillie's DeterminationME1-184 · #184
Special Illustration RareSpecial Illustration Rare
$55.72$136.86
Mega Evolution#184
Lillie's Determination
Special Illustration Rare
RAW MARKET$55.72PSA 10$136.86
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Mega Kangaskhan ex card
Mega Kangaskhan exME1-182 · #182
Special Illustration RareSpecial Illustration Rare
$53.76$131.20
Mega Evolution#182
Mega Kangaskhan ex
Special Illustration Rare
RAW MARKET$53.76PSA 10$131.20
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Mega Absol ex card
Mega Absol exME1-180 · #180
Special Illustration RareSpecial Illustration Rare
$51.59$120.11
Mega Evolution#180
Mega Absol ex
Special Illustration Rare
RAW MARKET$51.59PSA 10$120.11
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Acerola's Mischief card
Acerola's MischiefME1-183 · #183
Special Illustration RareSpecial Illustration Rare
$29.26$68.07
Mega Evolution#183
Acerola's Mischief
Special Illustration Rare
RAW MARKET$29.26PSA 10$68.07
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Wally's Compassion card
Wally's CompassionME1-186 · #186
Special Illustration RareSpecial Illustration Rare
$20.97$61.05
Mega Evolution#186
Wally's Compassion
Special Illustration Rare
RAW MARKET$20.97PSA 10$61.05
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Lt. Surge's Bargain card
Lt. Surge's BargainME1-185 · #185
Special Illustration RareSpecial Illustration Rare
$15.17$83.26
Mega Evolution#185
Lt. Surge's Bargain
Special Illustration Rare
RAW MARKET$15.17PSA 10$83.26
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer