Ariel - Sonic WarriorUR-220 · #220 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$166.22$1,009.81
DISNEY LORCANA / UR
Ursula's Return
English · May 17, 2024 release
RAW SET VALUE$1,470.81429 PRICED CARDS · RAW
AVG. EXPECTED RETURN-58.3%
PACK PRICE Loose-pack listings are NOT used for this price.Pack price is the booster box price divided by that box's documented pack count.$5.23
GROSS PACK EV$2.18
SEALED PREMIUM Pack price divided by gross pack EV before selling friction.Lower means pack price is cheaper relative to expected gross card value. Higher means sealed price is more expensive relative to expected gross card value.2.40xPACK PRICE / GROSS PACK EV
TOP 5 CHASE SHARE40.4%OF RAW SET VALUE
RECOMMENDATION BETACompared with eligible booster packs in this TCG.Lower sealed premium favors sealed. Higher premium favors singles only when gross EV and all-card value are both at least median; otherwise avoid.NO BIASNO CLEAR RELATIVE EDGE
Gross EV and Pack Price
Gross EVPack price
Daily modeled Gross EV and booster pack price in dollars. Use this view to compare their actual market values.
Gross EV
Pack Price
Top chases
- Ariel - Sonic WarriorEnchantedRAW$166.22PSA 10$1,009.81
- Cinderella - Melody WeaverEnchantedRAW$119.17PSA 10$487.65
- Minnie Mouse - Musketeer ChampionEnchantedRAW$115.32PSA 10$834.57
- Jasmine - Desert WarriorEnchantedRAW$104.86PSA 10$424.31
- Look at This FamilyEnchantedRAW$88.62PSA 10$210.00
Pull Rate and EV Breakdown
Each row is an outcome within its named pack slot. Expected per pack accounts for that slot's quantity.
| CATEGORIZED RARITY | PULL RATE / SLOT | EXPECTED / PACK | ELIGIBLE CARDS | GROSS EV | EV SHARE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rare+ · 2 SLOTS PER PACK | |||||
| Legendary | 8.33% | 1 IN 6 PACKS | 14 | $0.28 | 12.84% |
| Rare | 66.67% | 1.33 / PACK | 49 | $0.29 | 13.30% |
| Super Rare | 25.00% | 1 IN 2 PACKS | 18 | $0.14 | 6.42% |
| Randomized foil · 1 SLOT PER PACK | |||||
| Enchanted | 1.04% | 1 IN 96 PACKS | 18 | $0.73 | 33.49% |
| Legendary | 5.82% | 1 IN 17 PACKS | 14 | $0.33 | 15.14% |
| Rare | 23.28% | 1 IN 4 PACKS | 49 | $0.17 | 7.80% |
| Super Rare | 8.73% | 1 IN 11 PACKS | 18 | $0.11 | 5.05% |
Tracked cards
All categorized rarities
Cinderella - Melody WeaverUR-205 · #205 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$119.17$487.65Minnie Mouse - Musketeer ChampionUR-206 · #206 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$115.32$834.57Jasmine - Desert WarriorUR-212 · #212 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$104.86$424.31Look at This FamilyUR-207 · #207 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$88.62$210.00Anna - True-HeartedUR-217 · #217 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$82.41$364.29Diablo - Devoted HeraldUR-211 · #211 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$79.43$238.50Piglet - Sturdy SwordsmanUR-221 · #221 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$68.67$435.43Goofy - Super GoofUR-214 · #214 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$62.52$702.98Second Star to the RightUR-210 · #210 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$59.35$342.49Sisu - Empowered SiblingUR-215 · #215 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$54.71$226.73Yen Sid - Powerful SorcererUR-209 · #209 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$53.74$254.58Ursula - Sea Witch QueenUR-208 · #208 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$50.88$307.80We Don't Talk About BrunoUR-213 · #213 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$40.44$139.00The Queen - DivinerUR-218 · #218 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$39.38$404.03Snuggly Duckling - Disreputable PubUR-216 · #216 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$26.40$110.62Ariel's Grotto - A Secret PlaceUR-219 · #219 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$26.13$97.84Mickey Mouse - Musketeer CaptainUR-16 · #16 · COLD FOIL
Legendarycold Foil
$24.98$137.55The Wall - Border FortressUR-222 · #222 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$24.49$97.31Diablo - Devoted HeraldUR-70 · #70 · COLD FOIL
Legendarycold Foil
$11.41$63.26Diablo - Devoted HeraldUR-70 · #70 · NORMAL
Legendarynormal
$7.55$40.27Under the SeaUR-95 · #95 · COLD FOIL
Rarecold Foil
$6.21$35.25Prince Phillip - Vanquisher of FoesUR-87 · #87 · COLD FOIL
Super Rarecold Foil
$6.05$53.41Sisu - Empowered SiblingUR-125 · #125 · COLD FOIL
Legendarycold Foil
$5.37$38.67Cinderella - Melody WeaverUR-4 · #4 · COLD FOIL
Legendarycold Foil
$4.16$63.76