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The First Chapter booster pack

DISNEY LORCANA / TFC

The First Chapter

English · August 18, 2023 release

RAW SET VALUE$3,892.84420 PRICED CARDS · RAW
AVG. EXPECTED RETURN-61.8%
SET OVERVIEW
PACK PRICE Loose-pack listings are NOT used for this price.Pack price is the booster box price divided by that box's documented pack count.$20.45
GROSS PACK EV$7.81
SEALED PREMIUM Pack price divided by gross pack EV before selling friction.Lower means pack price is cheaper relative to expected gross card value. Higher means sealed price is more expensive relative to expected gross card value.2.62xPACK PRICE / GROSS PACK EV
TOP 5 CHASE SHARE50.8%OF RAW SET VALUE
RECOMMENDATION BETACompared with eligible booster packs in this TCG.Lower sealed premium favors sealed. Higher premium favors singles only when gross EV and all-card value are both at least median; otherwise avoid.FAVOR SINGLESSTRONG CONTENTS, POOR SEALED ACCESS
Gross EV and Pack Price
Gross EVPack price

Daily modeled Gross EV and booster pack price in dollars. Use this view to compare their actual market values.

Gross EV
Pack Price

Top chases

TOP 5
  1. Elsa - Spirit of WinterEnchanted
    RAW$952.77PSA 10$3,073.37
    The First Chapter#207
    Elsa - Spirit of Winter
    Enchanted
    RAW MARKET$952.77PSA 10$3,073.37
    Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
  2. Mickey Mouse - Wayward SorcererEnchanted
    RAW$331.11PSA 10$1,434.81
    The First Chapter#208
    Mickey Mouse - Wayward Sorcerer
    Enchanted
    RAW MARKET$331.11PSA 10$1,434.81
    Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
  3. Stitch - Carefree SurferEnchanted
    RAW$259.30PSA 10$1,216.94
    The First Chapter#206
    Stitch - Carefree Surfer
    Enchanted
    RAW MARKET$259.30PSA 10$1,216.94
    Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
  4. Simba - Returned KingEnchanted
    RAW$230.41PSA 10$905.24
    The First Chapter#215
    Simba - Returned King
    Enchanted
    RAW MARKET$230.41PSA 10$905.24
    Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
  5. Belle - Strange but SpecialEnchanted
    RAW$203.82PSA 10$839.68
    The First Chapter#214
    Belle - Strange but Special
    Enchanted
    RAW MARKET$203.82PSA 10$839.68
    Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer

Pull Rate and EV Breakdown

7 OUTCOMES

Each row is an outcome within its named pack slot. Expected per pack accounts for that slot's quantity.

CATEGORIZED RARITYPULL RATE / SLOTEXPECTED / PACKELIGIBLE CARDSGROSS EVEV SHARE
Rare+ · 2 SLOTS PER PACK
Legendary8.33%1 IN 6 PACKS12$1.0613.57%
Rare66.67%1.33 / PACK48$0.486.15%
Super Rare25.00%1 IN 2 PACKS18$0.334.23%
Randomized foil · 1 SLOT PER PACK
Enchanted1.04%1 IN 96 PACKS12$2.7034.57%
Legendary5.82%1 IN 17 PACKS12$2.1527.53%
Rare23.28%1 IN 4 PACKS48$0.435.51%
Super Rare8.73%1 IN 11 PACKS18$0.394.99%

Tracked cards

420 / 420 CARDS
All categorized rarities
Elsa - Spirit of Winter card
Elsa - Spirit of WinterTFC-207 · #207 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$952.77$3,073.37
The First Chapter#207
Elsa - Spirit of Winter
Enchanted
RAW MARKET$952.77PSA 10$3,073.37
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Mickey Mouse - Wayward Sorcerer card
Mickey Mouse - Wayward SorcererTFC-208 · #208 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$331.11$1,434.81
The First Chapter#208
Mickey Mouse - Wayward Sorcerer
Enchanted
RAW MARKET$331.11PSA 10$1,434.81
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Stitch - Carefree Surfer card
Stitch - Carefree SurferTFC-206 · #206 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$259.30$1,216.94
The First Chapter#206
Stitch - Carefree Surfer
Enchanted
RAW MARKET$259.30PSA 10$1,216.94
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Simba - Returned King card
Simba - Returned KingTFC-215 · #215 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$230.41$905.24
The First Chapter#215
Simba - Returned King
Enchanted
RAW MARKET$230.41PSA 10$905.24
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Belle - Strange but Special card
Belle - Strange but SpecialTFC-214 · #214 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$203.82$839.68
The First Chapter#214
Belle - Strange but Special
Enchanted
RAW MARKET$203.82PSA 10$839.68
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Tinker Bell - Giant Fairy card
Tinker Bell - Giant FairyTFC-216 · #216 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$194.23$870.24
The First Chapter#216
Tinker Bell - Giant Fairy
Enchanted
RAW MARKET$194.23PSA 10$870.24
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Mickey Mouse - Artful Rogue card
Mickey Mouse - Artful RogueTFC-210 · #210 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$191.92$3,086.52
The First Chapter#210
Mickey Mouse - Artful Rogue
Enchanted
RAW MARKET$191.92PSA 10$3,086.52
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Aurora - Dreaming Guardian card
Aurora - Dreaming GuardianTFC-213 · #213 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$190.59$854.44
The First Chapter#213
Aurora - Dreaming Guardian
Enchanted
RAW MARKET$190.59PSA 10$854.44
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Aladdin - Heroic Outlaw card
Aladdin - Heroic OutlawTFC-211 · #211 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$132.99$441.61
The First Chapter#211
Aladdin - Heroic Outlaw
Enchanted
RAW MARKET$132.99PSA 10$441.61
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Hades - King of Olympus card
Hades - King of OlympusTFC-205 · #205 · HOLOFOIL
Enchanted
$125.66$472.23
The First Chapter#205
Hades - King of Olympus
Enchanted
RAW MARKET$125.66PSA 10$472.23
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Mickey Mouse - Brave Little Tailor card
Mickey Mouse - Brave Little TailorTFC-115 · #115 · COLD FOIL
Legendarycold Foil
$84.28$430.19
The First Chapter#115
Mickey Mouse - Brave Little Tailor
Legendarycold Foil
RAW MARKET$84.28PSA 10$430.19
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Elsa - Spirit of Winter card
Elsa - Spirit of WinterTFC-42 · #42 · COLD FOIL
Legendarycold Foil
$60.73$191.45
The First Chapter#42
Elsa - Spirit of Winter
Legendarycold Foil
RAW MARKET$60.73PSA 10$191.45
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Stitch - Carefree Surfer card
Stitch - Carefree SurferTFC-21 · #21 · COLD FOIL
Legendarycold Foil
$49.42$166.52
The First Chapter#21
Stitch - Carefree Surfer
Legendarycold Foil
RAW MARKET$49.42PSA 10$166.52
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Maleficent - Monstrous Dragon card
Maleficent - Monstrous DragonTFC-113 · #113 · COLD FOIL
Legendarycold Foil
$46.85$138.29
The First Chapter#113
Maleficent - Monstrous Dragon
Legendarycold Foil
RAW MARKET$46.85PSA 10$138.29
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Rapunzel - Gifted with Healing card
Rapunzel - Gifted with HealingTFC-18 · #18 · COLD FOIL
Legendarycold Foil
$42.68$96.52
The First Chapter#18
Rapunzel - Gifted with Healing
Legendarycold Foil
RAW MARKET$42.68PSA 10$96.52
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Belle - Strange but Special card
Belle - Strange but SpecialTFC-142 · #142 · COLD FOIL
Legendarycold Foil
$37.20$114.55
The First Chapter#142
Belle - Strange but Special
Legendarycold Foil
RAW MARKET$37.20PSA 10$114.55
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Hades - Infernal Schemer card
Hades - Infernal SchemerTFC-147 · #147 · COLD FOIL
Legendarycold Foil
$27.08$92.10
The First Chapter#147
Hades - Infernal Schemer
Legendarycold Foil
RAW MARKET$27.08PSA 10$92.10
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
John Silver - Alien Pirate card
John Silver - Alien PirateTFC-82 · #82 · COLD FOIL
Legendarycold Foil
$23.04$23.42
The First Chapter#82
John Silver - Alien Pirate
Legendarycold Foil
RAW MARKET$23.04PSA 10$23.42
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Ursula - Power Hungry card
Ursula - Power HungryTFC-59 · #59 · COLD FOIL
Legendarycold Foil
$20.07$95.64
The First Chapter#59
Ursula - Power Hungry
Legendarycold Foil
RAW MARKET$20.07PSA 10$95.64
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Ariel - Spectacular Singer card
Ariel - Spectacular SingerTFC-2 · #2 · COLD FOIL
Super Rarecold Foil
$18.99$83.00
The First Chapter#2
Ariel - Spectacular Singer
Super Rarecold Foil
RAW MARKET$18.99PSA 10$83.00
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Gantu - Galactic Federation Captain card
Gantu - Galactic Federation CaptainTFC-178 · #178 · COLD FOIL
Legendarycold Foil
$18.75$71.22
The First Chapter#178
Gantu - Galactic Federation Captain
Legendarycold Foil
RAW MARKET$18.75PSA 10$71.22
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Stitch - Carefree Surfer card
Stitch - Carefree SurferTFC-21 · #21 · NORMAL
Legendarynormal
$17.05$226.92
The First Chapter#21
Stitch - Carefree Surfer
Legendarynormal
RAW MARKET$17.05PSA 10$226.92
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer
Beast - Wolfsbane card
Beast - WolfsbaneTFC-70 · #70 · COLD FOIL
Legendarycold Foil
$16.61$109.75
The First Chapter#70
Beast - Wolfsbane
Legendarycold Foil
RAW MARKET$16.61PSA 10$109.75
Buy on eBay Buy on TCGplayer